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An expanding knowledge base — about Investment Bets in particular, and the markets in general.
How entry and exit prices are set
1 min readEvery bet is priced from live market data the app fetches for you — once when you open it, and again when it closes.
Overnight moves and opening gaps
2 min readPrices keep moving after the closing bell. What happens overnight can push the next session's open well past where a stock closed.
The 10% slot rule and exposure capacity
2 min readEvery open bet occupies a fixed 10% slot of your portfolio capacity, keeping scores focused on picking performance rather than position sizing.
Target dates and automatic settlement
1 min readSetting an optional target date tells the platform when to close your bet automatically using that day's regular-session closing price.
How short positions work and their asymmetry
1 min readWhen you take a short position you gain when the price falls and lose when it rises. Because a price can only fall to zero but has no ceiling, the math on gains and losses is not symmetrical.
Evaluating a trading track record: win rate, returns, and sample size
2 min readA high win rate can mask a few large losses, while small samples often reflect short-term luck. Understanding what a public track record actually shows helps put performance into context.
Paper trading vs real money: frictions, fills, and psychology
2 min readSimulated trading tracks market prices accurately, but real money involves transaction costs, execution slippage, variable position sizing, and psychological pressure.
Earnings releases and opening gaps: what happens to open bets
2 min readQuarterly corporate results typically arrive outside regular market hours, causing sudden price jumps. Holding or closing an open bet across an earnings date introduces distinct gap risk.
Market orders vs limit orders: execution certainty and price certainty
3 min readChoosing an order type trades immediate execution against control over price. Market orders put getting filled first and accept whatever price is available, while limit orders protect the price at the risk of not filling at all.
The bid-ask spread and market liquidity
3 min readA market quote has two prices: what buyers will pay and what sellers will accept. The gap between them reflects liquidity, volatility, and the trading session.